JX news agency
[AI analysis] 33.9% of the World Cup Japan national team break through the GL, Brazil is the most likely winner
Scheduled to be updated daily with “Football World Cup Win/Loss Probability & Winner Country AI Simulator”
JX Press, Inc. (Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo; Katsuhiro Yoneshige, Representative Director; hereafter referred to as the Company) has constructed a unique mathematical model using AI in conjunction with the soccer World Cup scheduled to be held in Qatar from November 20. , simulated all match results 10,000 times. As a result, it was found that the country with the highest winning probability is Brazil (winning probability 12.2%), and the probability that the Japanese national team will advance to the group stage is 33.9%. Information on all matches, their totals, and simulation results for each country will be provided in the “2022 Soccer World Cup Win/Loss Probability & Winner Country AI Simulator,” which will be released on the 20th (Sun). You can check it from all over the world for free in both Japanese and English. You can also check the latest simulation results, which are updated daily, on our news app “NewsDigest”. NewsDigest will carry out a campaign from the 22nd (Tuesday) where you can get points by predicting the result of the match against Japan.
▷ “2022 Soccer World Cup Win/Loss Probability & Winning Country AI Simulator” Scheduled URL
https://worldcup2022.newsdigest.jp/?utm_source=prtimes&utm_medium=press ▷ NewsDigest download URL
https://app.adjust.com/4eaelp8_2bv299t?campaign=worldcup2022_advance_prob [Image 2
■ South American players take the lead, followed by Western powerhouses As a result of simulations using AI developed by our company, Brazil has the highest probability of winning, followed by Argentina (10.9%), followed by France (9.6%), England (7.7%), and the Netherlands (7.6%). European forces are following the development. Japan’s odds of winning the World Cup were 0.4%, placing them 23rd among the 32 nations competing in the World Cup.
■ The probability of winning the first match of the Japanese national team is 26.1%
The Japan national team will face Germany in the group stage (kick-off at 22:00 on the 23rd Japan time), Costa Rica (kick-off at 19:00 on the 27th), and Spain (kick-off at 4:00 on the 2nd), and the top two countries will be able to advance. Aim for the knockout stage. Japan won 26.1% of their first match against Germany, 43.1% against Costa Rica, and 21.8% against Spain, giving them a 33.9% chance of advancing to the knockout stage.
Also, the probability of advancing to the quarterfinals is 12.5%, the semifinals is 4.2%, the final is 1.3%, and the winning probability is only 0.4%.
■ Utilize analysis know-how in elections to build a unique model We have been developing services that make use of mathematical models such as machine learning. In addition, for the House of Councilors election in July this year, under the supervision of Associate Professor Michio Umeda of Komazawa University, we integrated reports on the situation from multiple media outlets and calculated the “probability of winning” through meta-analysis using mathematical methods. We have provided a winning probability simulator that will be used by many users as a basis for voting decisions.
In providing the “Win/Loss Probability & Winner Country AI Simulator”, we independently collect match results in past soccer World Cups, information on the abilities of each country’s national team, and match results in the most recent international matches. We built a mathematical model that predicts the outcome of a match.
Each country’s winning probability is calculated for each match card according to the actual soccer World Cup process, and the winning or losing (including the draw in the group stage) is repeated 10,000 times according to the probability. We asked for the probability of advancing to the round of 16 and the probability of winning. We plan to update the probabilities every day during the tournament by conducting simulations that reflect the actual match results. We will contribute to the creation of a more prosperous society by applying the technology related to the construction and operation of mathematical models that we have been working on for a long time, not only in the field of elections but also in a wide range of fields. ■Requests for quoting and reprinting this press release
・Please post the credits of “NewsDigest/JX Press”.
■Materials we can provide
・Related images and other related information data
・Interview with our representative director, development manager, public relations, etc.
*We are considering releasing the data related to this project and the original questionnaire survey information on NewsDigest in the future. If you are interested, please contact us
■ About JX Press
JX News Agency is a tech venture specializing in the news field. Aiming for the vision of “creating news that moves 100 million people”, “FASTALERT” delivers risk information from SNS to most media outlets in Japan, government agencies, infrastructure companies, etc., and breaking news app for general consumers. We provide “NewsDigest” and “JX News Agency Situation Survey”, a high-quality election survey service that meets the news standards.
Google Play Best App 2019 Life Useful Category Award Winner. Asia Digital Media Award 2020 New Coronavirus Infectious Disease Related Project Category Special Award. Breaking news is fast anyway, so it’s safe to put it in. In addition to news bulletins, earthquake and disaster bulletins, it is a social news bulletin app with over 5 million downloads that provides the fastest information necessary for daily life such as railway information.
Download URL: https://app.adjust.com/4eaelp8_2bv299t?campaign=worldcup2022_advance_prob
Details about this release: